Forecasting is critical to any project and can appear more complex when taking an agile approach. So you might be wondering…
How do I forecast my team’s future progress in Scrum?
We got you covered. This article will cover three essential topics to help you feel confident calculating your team’s progress into the future.
In Scrum, the term velocity refers to the speed at which a team completes story points over a period of time. Let’s look at an example.
Here are the story points a team completed over the last 4 sprints:
So we take those and average them.
(32+28+25+30) / 4 = 28.75.
This team has a velocity of 28.75 points. It’s also helpful to look at the standard deviation for a team’s past sprints. In this example, the numbers fall in a narrow range of 25 to 32. If the range were vast, the Scrum Master would likely need to investigate why before using the team’s velocity to forecast future progress.
When the team experiences changes, like new team members, the velocity will likely adjust as well. Next, let’s look at using the team’s velocity to forecast future sprints.
By using user stories, you can say goodbye to the wasted time of working on the wrong thing.